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Sabtu, 15 Mei 2010

Comparison of Capital Market

Comparison of Capital Market
(IDX, NYSE, Shanghai SE)
Introduction
Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) or in Indonesian Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) is a stock exchange based in Jakarta, Indonesia. It was previously known as Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) before its name changed in 2007 after merging with Surabaya Stock Exchange (SSX). As of 31 December 2007, the Indonesia Stock Exchange had 383 listed companies with a combined market capitalization of $212 billion
The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) is a Chinese stock exchange or bourse that is based in the city of Shanghai. It is one of the three stock exchanges operating independently in the People's Republic of China, the other two are the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Unlike the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the Shanghai Stock Exchange is still not entirely open to foreign investors due to tight capital account controls exercised by the Chinese mainland authorities.
At the end of 2007, the Shanghai Stock Exchange had 860 listed companies with a combined market capitalization of US$3.95 trillion, making it the largest in China and second largest in the world. The current exchange was re-established on November 26, 1990 and was in operation on December 19 of the same year. It is a non-profit organization directly administered by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC).
The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is a stock exchange located at 11 Wall Street in lower Manhattan, New York City, USA. It is the world's largest stock exchange by market capitalization of its listed companies at US$28.5 trillion as of May 2008.
The NYSE is operated by NYSE Euronext, which was formed by the NYSE's 2007 merger with the fully electronic stock exchange Euronext. The NYSE trading floor is located at 11 Wall Street and is composed of four rooms used for the facilitation of trading. A fifth trading room, located at 30 Broad Street, was closed in February 2007. The main building, located at 18 Broad Street, between the corners of Wall Street and Exchange Place, was designated a National Historic Landmark in 1978, as was the 11 Wall Street building.
Related Theories
Value Of Share Trading
The value of share trading is the total number of shares traded multiplied by their respective matching prices. The table distinguishes trading value of domestic and foreign shares. Figures are single counted (only one side of the transaction is considered). Companies admitted to listing and admitted to trading are included in the data.
In order to achieve a more complete view of market activity, share trading value is split into two main categories of trades according to the facility / means used to execute the trading operation :
Trades effected through the Electronic Order Book
These trades represent the transfer of ownership effected automatically through the exchange’s electronic order book where orders placed by trading members are usually exposed to all market users and automatically matched according to precise rules set up by the exchange, generally on a price/time priority basis.
Negotiated deals
These trades represent the transfer of ownership effected through a bilateral negotiation and involving at least one exchange’s member intermediary (trades between two intermediaries or between an intermediary and a customer). These trades may not be exposed to the market until after the trade is completed. They can be executed in a number of ways, including special trading platforms, telephone or other structures, and are reported by the intermediary to the exchange’s authorities. They can be executed and/or reported on systems operated by the exchange. To be included in the statistical reporting, this activity must generate revenues for the exchange.
Total share turnover is composed of electronic order book and negotiated deals.
Number of Listed Company
Number of companies which have shares listed on an exchange at the end of the period, split into domestic and foreign, excluding investment funds and unit trusts. A company with several classes of shares is counted just once. Only companies admitted to listing are included.
Domestic / Foreign Company
A company is considered domestic when it is incorporated in the same country as where the exchange is located. A company is considered foreign when it is incorporated in a country other than that where the exchange is located.
Domestic Market Capitalization
The market capitalization of a stock exchange is the total number of issued shares of domestic companies, including their several classes, multiplied by their respective prices at a given time. This figure reflects the comprehensive value of the market at that time.
The market capitalization figures include:
- shares of domestic companies ;
- shares of foreign companies which are exclusively listed on an exchange, i.e. the foreign company is not quoted on any other exchange
- common and preferred shares of domestic companies
- shares without voting rights
The market capitalization figures exclude:
- collective investment funds ;
- rights, warrants, ETFs, convertible instruments ;
- options, futures ;
- foreign listed shares other than exclusively listed ones ;
- companies whose only business goal is to hold shares of other listed companies
- companies admitted to trading (companies admitted to trading are companies whose shares are traded at the exchange but not listed at the exchange)
Broad Stock Market Indexes
Broad indexes are, in general, market capitalization-weighted, including a large sample of listed domestic companies, as the all-share or composite indexes. They are generally recalculated to adjust to capital operations and to modifications in the company composition of the index. The index can be market capitalization-weighted or free float based.
When the index is a price index, it measures the pure change of share prices without taking into consideration returns from dividend pay-outs.
When the index is a return index, it measures the total return of investments on the index shares, including reinvested dividends.
Certain WFE member exchanges operate several markets, and report index performances on an individual basis.

Economic Indicator

Economic indicators are any form of statistic which has a relation with economic to measure how good is the economy so far and how good is the growth of the economy for the future, it can be like GDP, unemployment rate, inflation rate, etc. There are also three major parts in economic indicators.
1. Relation to the economic cycle:
Economic indicators could be one of these three different relationships:
a) Procyclic economic indicator is an indicator that moves in the same way or direction with the economic. So when the economic growth is good, so the numbers of this indicator also increase. The example is GDP.
b) Countercyclic economic indicator is an indicator that moves in the opposite with economic. So this is the reverse of procyclic economic indicator. Like the rate of unemployment in Indonesia.
c) Acyclic economic indicator is an indicator that has no relation with the health of economic and generally little use.
2. Frequency of the data
Frequency of the data are released in certain periods and each data has certain period to be released, such as GDP in some countries is released quarterly, and then the unemployment rate is released monthly, and in IDX the report always released in every seconds.
3. Timing
This is showing the changes time of the indicator according to the economic as a whole:
a) Leading economic indicator is always happened before the changes occurred in economic. So those, the investor always use this indicator to measure their financial asset.
b) Lagging economic indicator is an indicator which doesn’t directly change when the economic change. So this indicator can be seen three until four month after the economic changes. Like the unemployment rate.
c) Coincident economic indicator is the one which simultaneously change when the changes in economy occurred. So it is happened in the same time. For example such as Gross Domestic Product.
The Indicators also fall into seven broad categories:
a. Total Output, Income, and Spending
b. Employment, Unemployment, and Wages
c. Production and Business Activity
d. Prices
e. Money, Credit, and Security Markets
f. Federal Finance
g. International Statistics
Based from http://www.bi.go.id/web/id the statistic data show that the inflation rate in 2009 in Indonesia is already decreasing. Showed in this table.
January 2009
9.17 %
December 2008
11.06 %
November 2008
11.68 %
October 2008
11.77 %
September 2008
12.14 %

Indonesia in September 2008 got the highest inflation rate. It is also affected by the global crisis that already happened in the world. At that time many price increased and forced the Indonesian people to spend more budget for their living cost. This situation make the people get lower income under the standardization and the number of poverty still grow up. Then in January 2009, it is become good for Indonesian people, although compare to other country it is still very high, because the inflation rate is decreasing. So that, some of the price at least cheaper than last year in September 2008. Many goods are sold in stable price nowadays, moreover the decreasing price of the gasoline in Indonesia also support the decreasing living cost for Indonesian people.
Knowing this information the Indonesian government then also reset or make the new interest rate in central bank. The government decreased the interest rate also.
4 Feb 2009
8.25%
Press release link
7 Jan 2009
8.75%
Press release link
4 Dec 2008
9.25%
Press release link
6 Nov 2008
9.50%
Press release link
7 Oct 2008
9.50%
Press release link
4 Sept 2008
9.25%
Press release link
Why the Government do this? It is to attract people saving their money in the bank. So the interest rate and the inflation rate always have a positive correlation. When inflation rate increase so the government try to increase the interest rate to devend the negative effect of inflation rate.
Another effect of inflation that probably occur in Indonesia is uncertainty. Uncertainty affect the economics to do their activities, such as the investor will be so doubtfull to invest their money and it can effect the stabilization of capital market when the uncertainty cannot be controlled. Then the worst effect of inflation rate is occurred when the domestic inflation rate become higher then Indonesia’s neghbour country because it can made the Indonesia’s currency lower. After it happened, the decreasing amount of national income also raise because goods or services in market become not competitive anymore and the demand could be lower then the income will declining also.